{"id":2205,"date":"2013-06-17T15:22:21","date_gmt":"2013-06-17T14:22:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=2205"},"modified":"2013-06-27T12:34:19","modified_gmt":"2013-06-27T11:34:19","slug":"there-are-some-reasons-for-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=2205","title":{"rendered":"There are some reasons for hope…"},"content":{"rendered":"

Two new reports are just out.\u00a0 The International Energy Agency (IEA) has produced a report called “Redrawing the energy-climate map” and the annual BP review of world energy is also out.<\/p>\n

There is both good and bad news in the IEA report.<\/p>\n

The good news is that in both the US and China switches to renewables and possibly gas are driving either a fall in emissions (US) or a continuing fall in the rate of emissions increase (China).\u00a0 The EU also had a fall in emissions partly due to an increase renewables output.\u00a0 In China the electricity output increase of just over 5% in 2012 was met by increased renewables output.\u00a0 The CO2 intensity of Chinese electricity is also plunging, although its still much higher than here.\u00a0 Energy efficiency in Japan was not enough to prevent an increase of 70Mt of carbon emissions due to nuclear shut-down.<\/p>\n

The bad news is according to the IEA (who it should be stated are not climate sceptics) that we are still heading for a 2.8-4.5 increase in temperature on current trends.\u00a0 The IEA states that to prevent this we need to have emissions on a downward trend by 2020.\u00a0 Can we do this?\u00a0 Yes, but its tough.\u00a0 The IEA say four things have to happen.<\/p>\n