{"id":3438,"date":"2013-12-20T12:17:02","date_gmt":"2013-12-20T11:17:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438"},"modified":"2013-12-20T12:17:02","modified_gmt":"2013-12-20T11:17:02","slug":"one-thing-we-have-learnt-this-week-third-runway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438","title":{"rendered":"One thing we have learnt this week- third runway"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"00007_opt\"<\/a>We have learnt something about Sir Howard Davis’s interim proposals for a third runway in the south east of England this week.\u00a0 To recap; before the last election two of the parties (not labour although its current leader threatened to resign over the issue as climate change secretary) ruled out a third runway at Heathrow airport.\u00a0 When the coalition was formed the\u00a0coalition agreement ruled out a third runway at Heathrow.\u00a0 For overseas readers this gives you in idea of how toxic the idea is in London.\u00a0 The reasons for this are simple, noise.\u00a0 There is pollution as well, but this is less obvious.\u00a0 From about five in the morning there is a continuous stream of planes until 10pm? at night.\u00a0 I noticed the noise in the morning when I stayed with a friend under one of the flight paths.\u00a0 To be fair it did not stop me getting to sleep.<\/p>\n

The problem was businesses were unhappy with no airport expansion and a very effective lobbying campaign was launched.\u00a0 To try to get the\u00a0coalition of the hook Sir Howard Davis was brought in to write a report on future expansion, a decision on which is still formally ruled out until after the next election.\u00a0 Another complication is that of Boris Johnson the London Mayor. \u00a0 Knowing the politics he has suggested “Boris Island” a new airport to the East of London.\u00a0 Sir Howard considered this along with Gatwick and Stanstead.<\/p>\n

Sir Howard\u00a0has ruled out Stanstead and almost totally ruled out “Boris Island”. Stanstead is long way out of London and would require better surface transport.\u00a0 Boris Island would cost around \u00a3120 Billion although some this could be recouped (presumably in taxation).\u00a0 The proposals are therefore narrowed down to Gatwick which could be built fairly quickly or Heathrow.\u00a0 At Heathrow they have two proposals a new runway or doubling the size of the existing one.\u00a0 This they would use for both take off and landing at the same time.\u00a0 Something that was not mentioned in the media coverage was they also looked at a catapult launch system (rather you than me-which is what they decided).<\/p>\n

What is astonishing about this whole debate is there is no mention of climate change or the oil supply.\u00a0 We can argue to we are blue in the face whether peak oil has happened.\u00a0 Maybe its more helpful to consider it occurring in stages.\u00a0 In my view stage one has definitely occurred.\u00a0 That is the peaking of easy to extract cheap oil.\u00a0 Recent reports from the US energy agency do suggest that shale oil in the US will have peaked by about 2021 (link on our Facebook page). A third runway at Heathrow would not be built until 2030.\u00a0 Currently airline economics suggest that as long as the oil price is below $120\/barrel they can make money (reference in our book<\/a>).\u00a0 It exceeded this in 2008 and a whole heap of carriers were wiped out. Are we really so sure demand for flying will increase for ever-can it? We also need to consider climate change as well. For this reason we also need to stop flying.\u00a0\u00a0 I really don’t believe its so vital to the economy as business makes out. At some point airport expansion has to stop and ultimately we will have to live without flying.<\/p>\n

The interim report can be seen here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Neil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We have learnt something about Sir Howard Davis’s interim proposals for a third runway in the south east of England this week.\u00a0 To recap; before the last election two of the parties (not labour although its current leader threatened to … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nThird runway and peak oil<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We have learnt something about Sir Howard Davis's proposals for a third runway in the south east of England this week.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438\",\"name\":\"Third runway and peak oil\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/00007_opt-300x225.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-12-20T11:17:02+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/#\/schema\/person\/b6f2831189b0d01294e9672bb540ba6f\"},\"description\":\"We have learnt something about Sir Howard Davis's proposals for a third runway in the south east of England this week.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/00007_opt-300x225.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/12\/00007_opt-300x225.jpg\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3438#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"One thing we have learnt this week- third runway\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/\",\"name\":\"The oil lamp - 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