{"id":4512,"date":"2014-08-29T12:36:18","date_gmt":"2014-08-29T11:36:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=4512"},"modified":"2014-08-29T12:36:18","modified_gmt":"2014-08-29T11:36:18","slug":"one-thing-learnt-week-libya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=4512","title":{"rendered":"One thing we have learnt this week &#8211; Libya again"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A few months ago I wrote a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=3822\" target=\"_blank\">blog post about Libya<\/a>.\u00a0 I wish I did not have to write a follow up.\u00a0 The situation has got much worse since.\u00a0 A few days ago Egyptian and UAE fighters <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2014\/aug\/26\/united-arab-emirates-bombing-raids-libyan-militias\" target=\"_blank\">bombed Islamist<\/a> militias.\u00a0 There are two rival governments and different groups fighting it out on the ground in what is a very confused situation as the county rapidly sinks into a civil war.<\/p>\n<p>In March I wrote;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<em>Does that Libya is on the brink matter?\u00a0 I think it does for three reasons.<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>First, there is a humanitarian issue.\u00a0 <\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Second, we will have a refugee crisis much closer to Europe.\u00a0 <\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Lastly the raison d\u2019etre of this blog, energy security.\u00a0 The graph below shows the oil and gas production for Libya (source BP statistical review of world energy 2013).<br \/>\n<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Libyan-oil-and-gas-production.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-3830 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Libyan-oil-and-gas-production-300x226.jpg\" alt=\"Libyan oil and gas production\" width=\"300\" height=\"226\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Libyan-oil-and-gas-production-300x226.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/03\/Libyan-oil-and-gas-production.jpg 495w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>Nothing has changed to alter what I wrote but with other problems in the middle east and other parts of the Ukraine its not surprising that the world&#8217;s eyes are not on Libya.\u00a0 But they need to be and once Libya becomes like Syria they will be.\u00a0 In the meanwhile little oil and gas coming out this will put more pressure on Saudi Arabia to pump more.\u00a0 This is all right as long as they are able to do so and shows that shale oil is not going to be the game changer that most people think it will be.\u00a0 We are still horribly dependent on declining stocks of conventional oil.<\/p>\n<p>Neil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A few months ago I wrote a blog post about Libya.\u00a0 I wish I did not have to write a follow up.\u00a0 The situation has got much worse since.\u00a0 A few days ago Egyptian and UAE fighters bombed Islamist militias.\u00a0 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=4512\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,17,1],"tags":[271,35,36],"class_list":["post-4512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-energy-costs","category-one-thing-we-have-learnt-this-week","category-uncategorized","tag-gas","tag-libya","tag-oil"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Libya again<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A few months ago I wrote a blog post about Libya. 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