{"id":8392,"date":"2019-02-15T10:43:24","date_gmt":"2019-02-15T09:43:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392"},"modified":"2019-02-15T10:43:24","modified_gmt":"2019-02-15T09:43:24","slug":"one-thing-learnt-week-renewables-dominate-2040","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392","title":{"rendered":"One thing we have learnt this week &#8211; renewables to dominate by 2040"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/electricity-production-data-2019.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-8395\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/electricity-production-data-2019-300x255.jpg\" alt=\"electricity production data 2019\" width=\"300\" height=\"255\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/electricity-production-data-2019-300x255.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/electricity-production-data-2019.jpg 470w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>Renewables to dominate electricity production by 2040.\u00a0 That&#8217;s the main conclusion in the BP energy outlook 2019.\u00a0 The graph shows the data provided by BP and replotted by me.\u00a0 There a number of things to say about this.\u00a0 Firstly some of this data is historical so in the graph renewables share of the data has doubled 2015-18.\u00a0 Second, BP persistently underestimate the growth of renewables, so its likely that this latest projection will be an underestimate.\u00a0 As you you will see from the graph this figure does not include hydro.\u00a0 Whether big hydro especially in the tropics can be regarded as sustainable is a moat point.\u00a0 It shows gas staying pretty level, with a huge drop in the use of coal.\u00a0 Lastly this does include a big increase in electric vehicles, although not as high as other people would see the penetration although much of this is seen as shared rather than owned vehicles.\u00a0 When this is taken into account the % of journeys is much higher.<\/p>\n<p>Other things to note from the report apart from the renewables to dominate part.\u00a0 The report talks about the circular economy as far as I am aware for the first time.\u00a0 It also (surprise surprise) sees oil as the still dominate form of energy but sees much of the demand going forward as coming from need for oil to make plastics.\u00a0 It warns a ban on single use plastics without an alternative will increase carbon emissions and energy demand.\u00a0 Precisely why this is not made entirely clear, but one reason given is an increase in food waste.\u00a0 So some encouragement here we need this transition and we need it fast.\u00a0 The last thing to say is of course there are lots of other areas to decarbonise apart from electricity.<\/p>\n<p>Neil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Renewables to dominate electricity production by 2040.\u00a0 That&#8217;s the main conclusion in the BP energy outlook 2019.\u00a0 The graph shows the data provided by BP and replotted by me.\u00a0 There a number of things to say about this.\u00a0 Firstly some &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,4],"tags":[61],"class_list":["post-8392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-one-thing-we-have-learnt-this-week","category-renewables","tag-renewable-energy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>One thing we have learnt this week - renewables to dominate by 2040 - The oil lamp - shining God&#039;s light on peak oil<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392\",\"name\":\"One thing we have learnt this week - renewables to dominate by 2040 - The oil lamp - shining God&#039;s light on peak oil\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/electricity-production-data-2019-300x255.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-02-15T09:43:24+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/#\/schema\/person\/b6f2831189b0d01294e9672bb540ba6f\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/electricity-production-data-2019-300x255.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/electricity-production-data-2019-300x255.jpg\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/?p=8392#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.theoillamp.co.uk\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"One thing we have learnt this week &#8211; 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